Forex trading system, mechanical vs.
discretionary
There are basically two
types of Forex trading systems, mechanical and discretionary systems. The
trading signals that come out of mechanical systems are mainly based off
technical analysis applied in a systematic way. On the other hand,
discretionary systems use experience, intuition or judgment on entries and
exits. But which one produces better results? Or more importantly, which
one fits better your trading style? These are the answers we will try to
answer on this article.
We will first analyze the pros and cons about each system approach.
Mechanical systems
Advantages
This kind of system can be automated and backtested efficiently.
It has very rigid rules. Either, there is a trade or there isn’t.
Mechanical traders are less susceptible to emotions than discretionary
traders.
Disadvantages
Most traders backtest Forex trading systems incorrectly. In order to
produce accurate results you need tick data.
The Forex market is always changing. The Forex market (and all markets)
has a random component. The market conditions may look similar, but they
are never the same.
A system that worked successfully the past year doesn’t necessary mean it
will work this year.
Discretionary systems
Advantages
Discretionary systems are easily adaptable to new market conditions.
Trading decisions are based on experience. Traders learn to see which
trading signals have higher probability of success.
Disadvantages
They cannot be backtested or automated, since there is always a thought
decision to be made.
It takes time to develop the experience required to trade successfully and
track trades in a discretionary way. At early stages this can be
dangerous.
Now, which approach is better for Forex traders? The one that fits better
your personality. For instance, if you are a trader that finds it hard to
follow your trading signals, then you are better off using a mechanical
system, where your judgment won’t play an important role in your system.
You only take the trades that your system signals.
If the psychological barriers that affect every trader (fear, greed,
anger, etc.) puts you in unwanted scenarios, you are also better off
trading mechanical systems, because you only need to follow what your
system is telling you, go short, go long, close a trade. No other decision
has to be made.
On the other hand, if you are a disciplined trader, then you are better
off using a discretionary system, because discretionary systems adapt to
the market conditions and you are able to change your trading conditions
as the market changes. For instance, you have a target of 60 pips on a
long trade. But the market suddenly starts trending up pretty strongly,
then you could move your target to say 100 pips.
Does it mean that trading a discretionary system has no rules? This is
absolutely incorrect. Trading discretionary systems means that once a
trader finds his/her setup, the trader then decides what to do. But every
trader still needs certain rules that need to be followed, such as the
size of the position, conditions that have to be met before thinking to
get in the market, and so on.
I am a discretionary trader. The main reason I chose a discretionary
system is that my trades are based on price behavior, and as you already
know, the price behaves similar to the past, but it is never identical,
therefore the outcome of every trade is unknown. However, I do have rigid
rules on my system, certain conditions have to be met before I even think
in getting in a trade. This keeps me out of trouble, once my setup is
present and in accordance with the rules I have set, I closely watch the
price behavior and finally decide whether it is a good opportunity or not.
Whether you choose to be a discretionary or a mechanical trader there are
some important points you should take in consideration:
1. You need to make sure the Forex trading system you are using totally
fits your personality. Otherwise you will find yourself outguessing your
system.
2. You also need to have some rules and most importantly have the
discipline to follow them.
3. Take your time to build the perfect system for you. It’s not easy and
requires time and hard work, but at the end, if done correctly, it will
give you consistent profitable results.
4. Before going live, try it on a demo account or even on a small account
(I will go for the second option, since psychological barriers will be
present.)