Compared with previous bull runs, the next Bitcoin rally will have to be more focused on utility and less on the story, Novogratz predicted during a panel at the Token2049 crypto event on Sept. 28.
The Bitcoin bull run of 2017, one of the biggest historical rallies, was mostly about the story, the CEO said, referring to the cryptocurrency’s run from about $1,000 to $20,000 within one year.
According to Novogratz, the 2017 bull run was primarily about the story of people not trusting the government and wanting more privacy and decentralization. “It was a Gen Z, millennial revolution, and it was global. That’s a powerful story,” the CEO noted.
Bitcoin hitting all-time highs above $69,000 in November 2021, another big rally, was “really generated” by the COVID-19 pandemic, Novogratz said. He suggested that the price action in 2020 and 2021 was “probably 80% story and 20% utility,” referring to the growing utility use case of digitalization amid the pandemic.
“Ethereum and all the other level ones started really accelerating the work to build a shared blockchain that we could build companies on top of,” Novogratz stated.
In contrast to the aforementioned cryptocurrency bull runs, the next Bitcoin rally will have to be “50% story, 50% utility,” Novogratz predicted, stating:
“It’s people building applications, people building systems a) that are fast and scalable and b) that are user-friendly. We don’t have them yet — that’s why we’re where we are. But in the next few years, they’re coming.”
During the panel, Novogratz also revved up the audience with his bullish prediction of the “inevitability” that crypto will succeed.
“The word ‘inevitable’ keeps coming up. There’s a sense of inevitability that we’re in the right space, inevitable that Bitcoin will have its day,” Novogratz stated. He also expressed confidence that Web3 and nonfungible tokens will be a big part of the gaming space in the future.
Additionally, the CEO noted that despite the ongoing cryptocurrency winter, Bitcoin has still performed better than a basket of various fiat currencies this year. “If you look at Bitcoin versus a basket of currencies, it’s done about 20% better than versus the dollar,” Novogratz noted.
As previously reported by Cointelegraph, Novogratz has made some successful predictions about Bitcoin. Back in 2020, Novogratz predicted that Bitcoin would end the year above $20,000, which turned out to be an understatement, with Bitcoin nearing the $30,000 price mark by the end of 2020.
Additional reporting by Andrew Fenton.