Stock-index futures pointed to a higher start Tuesday as investors began to digest second-quarter results from a trio of big banks, kicking off earnings season.
What are major indexes doing?
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average US:YM00 were up 105 points, or 0.4%, at 26,073, while S&P 500 futures US:ES00 advanced 7.30 points, or 0.2%, to 3,155.50. Nasdaq-100 futures US:NQ00 gave up a gain to trade 5.75 points lower at 10,594.25, down 0.1%.
The Dow US:DJIA on Monday eked out a gain of 10.50 points, a rise of less than 0.1%, to end at 26,085.80, while the S&P 500 US:SPX shed 29.82 points, or 0.9%, to close at 3,155.22. The Nasdaq Composite US:COMP led the market action, trading at an intraday record in the early going before turning south hard in afternoon activity to finish the day down 226.60 points, or 2.1%, at 10,390.84.
What’s driving the market?
Investors were digesting quarterly results from banking giant JPMorgan Chase & Co. US:JPM that saw earnings fall but top expectations, lifting shares in premarket trade.
Results from Citigroup Inc. US:C and Wells Fargo & Co. US:WFC were also expected ahead of the opening bell.
Deep Dive:What to expect as banks report earnings: More loan pain but plenty of fee income
“These results are likely to be closely scrutinized for further evidence that U.S. banking chiefs are concerned about setting aside higher provisions in respect of large-scale loan losses, after the $25 billion set aside at the end of Q,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK, in a note.
Investors are bracing for an ugly second-quarter earnings season overall in the wake of the sudden stop suffered by the economy this spring. Stock-market bulls are looking for results that can beat a sharply lowered bar as well as any guidance that points to a third-quarter pickup gaining steam into the fourth quarter. Skeptics contend the outlook may leave bulls disappointed.
Investors who think stocks have rallied too far off the March lows put in when equities tanked in response to the spreading pandemic point to the continued rise in cases in the U.S. and other parts of the world.
Analysts attributed blame for Monday’s reversal in part to worries over the continued rise in COVID-19 infections in the U.S., particularly after California Gov. Gavin Newsom ordered a rollback of indoor operations at restaurants as well as bars, zoos, wineries, museums, card rooms, and movie theaters.
The U.S. death toll stands at 135,615 and is rising again after it had started to flatten in mid-to-late April. There are now 41 U.S. states and regions showing increasing cases over a 14-day period, according to a New York Times tracker.
Meanwhile, while stocks have largely traded sideways since early June, tech stocks, as evidenced by the tech-heavy Nasdaq, have continued to rally on expectations that major players will remain largely immune to the effects of the pandemic, benefiting to shifts to distance learning, working from home and other phenomenon.
But some investors contend the tech sector was overdue for a pullback, particularly relative to other sectors.
“I tend to think the Nasdaq is still overbought by a lot and that it needs to fall to the other side of the trading range. What happens after, we will find out when we get there,” said Michael Kramer, founder of Mott Capital, in a note.
He said there’s “considerable distance” for the popular Invesco QQQ Trust Series ETF US:QQQ, which tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index US:NDX, to fall, with initial support seen at $251, with the next level seen near $247 — around 5% below Monday’s close.
On the data front, the National Federation of Independent Business said its Small Business Optimism Index rose to 100.6 in June, a 6.2 point increase from May’s reading.
The June consumer-price index is due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch, on average, expect it to show a 0.5% rise after a 0.1% May decline. The core reading, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, is forecast to show a 0.2% increase after May’s 0.1% fall.
Federal Reserve Gov. Lael Brainard is scheduled to deliver remarks at 2 p.m. Eastern, while St. Louis Fed President James Bullard is due to speak at 2:30 p.m. Eastern.
Which companies are in focus?
Shares of JPMorgan Chase were up 2% in premarket trade after delivering results, while Citigroup shares were up 1.6% ahead of results and Wells Fargo shares were up 0.7%.
Shares of Delta Air Lines Inc. US:DAL were down 1.3% in premarket action after reporting a larger-than-expected second-quarter loss.
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